What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged SOFI over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
$18.32 to $19.00 inside 6.5 hours, +3.74%. Days like this are why the ladder has a top. Direction was right and 100x died anyway, after one minute. The same long at 2x is $107.16. The 50x short died after 55 minutes. 5 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Top survivors: 50x long, 20x short. The fee took no view on any of it: 16% of the stake to get in and out at 100x, so SOFI has to hand back 0.16% before you are level, about 4% of an average session's range here.
Leveraged trading of SoFi Technologies (SOFI): what has been happening
Last print $19.00, +4.28% for the session and +7.62% on the week. SOFI is +12.59% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads +18.93%, year to date -30.79%. The 30-session range is $14.88 to $19.17, which puts the last price -0.86% off the high and +27.72% off the low.
How volatile is SOFI right now
Realised volatility over 30 sessions annualises to 62.3%, against 59.9% over 90. By leveraged standards that is hard work at size. Average true range across 14 sessions is 4.19% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 3.92% either side of flat. 6.34% below an open is the worst of the last 90 sessions, and it happened recently enough to be in the last 30 as well.
What leverage SOFI actually survives
Run the last 30 sessions and 10x is the top rung that never got closed out. Its liquidation sits 9.950% away, against a worst session of 6.34%. SOFI has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 67 of the last 90 sessions. That is 74% of them. 90 of the last 90 sessions cleared the 0.0500% that ends a 1000x position. Per minute rather than per session: median bar 0.0549%, and 60.2% of them would close 1000x without any help from the rest of the day.
SOFI liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 6 / 90 | 7% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 51 / 90 | 57% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 67 / 90 | 74% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 77 / 90 | 86% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 86 / 90 | 96% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 90 / 90 | 100% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged SOFI position costs
The fee is a percentage of the position and the position is the multiplier, so 16 basis points becomes 1.6% of your stake at 10x and 16% at 100x. On SOFI that 100x round trip is worth about 4% of an average session's range, so the position opens that far behind. The ceiling set by cost alone is about 625x. Past it the round trip has already spent the stake and SOFI has not been consulted.
SOFI leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on SOFI?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 10x, which liquidates on a 9.950% adverse move.
How far can SOFI fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. SOFI moved at least that far against an open-price long on 67 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is SOFI right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 62.3% and 14-session average true range is 4.19% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on SOFI?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which SOFI can cover in a single minute bar.
What has SoFi Technologies done recently?
+4.28% on the last session, +7.62% over five sessions, +12.59% over a month and -30.79% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $14.88 to $19.17.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on SOFI, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists SOFI, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.