Risk Do not exceed 20x leverage. It will kill you. Everything above it liquidated on every market tested here.
MOON
Demo simulator
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Markets / Crypto / BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) leverage simulator

20x survived every one of the last 30 sessions on BTC. Nothing above it did. Set a wager and a multiplier up to 1000x on Bitcoin below.

Verdict

At 100x, a 1.0% move against you ends the position. BTC moved that far on 50 of the last 90 sessions.

Warning

20x is the ceiling, and it is not a safe one. Every step up shrinks the move that closes you out: 1.0% at 100x, 0.2% at 500x.

Why it moved

No confirmed catalyst4 candidates in review

BTC put in a 1.98 per cent fall across 12 hours from a source unknown, with no filing and no named report inside the window.

B
Bitcoin BTC ☆
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twelvedata polled
Open Bet Volume· ▲ $0 ▼ $0 ·Market sentiment UP ▲ · —
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What a move would mean

0.00%
−5%0+5%

Open profit / loss
$0.00
Position value
$0.00

My positions

BetWagerLeverageEntryLiquidation MarkProfit / LossMultiplierAction
No open bets
Measured from 1005 sessions of Twelve Data history ·Updated 2026-10-06 13:22 UTC ·Last bar 2026-10-06

What BTC did to leverage in 12 hours

You had 0.04 per cent up to work with on BTC over 12 hours, $85,996.01 to $86,026.98. You would have been right on BTC and still lost the wager at 100x, after 5 hours, against $99.07 at 2x. 6 of 18 BTC multipliers did not finish the 12 hours, the last of them 500x short after 8.6 hours. The best BTC survivors were 50x long and 200x short. The 100x BTC round trip took 1 per cent of your stake first, so you need 0.01 per cent out of BTC to get level, about 0.2 per cent of an ordinary session.

Where Bitcoin has been trading

BTC marks $86,026.98 after up 0.30 per cent on the session and up 34.11 per cent over five. Over three months BTC is up 35.88 per cent. Your entry sits 1.37 per cent off the 30-session high of $87,220.00 and 38.14 per cent above the $62,275.00 low.

Last$86,026.98
1 session+0.30%
1 month+35.33%
Year to date-3.17%
30d realised vol98.5%
14d ATR4.15%
Worst 30d intraday drop3.57%
Survived every session at20x

How far BTC moves in a session

BTC runs 98.5 per cent annualised volatility over 30 sessions against 65.4 per cent over 90, which by leveraged standards is genuinely volatile. An ordinary BTC day swings 5.16 per cent either side of flat, and at its worst BTC fell 7.44 per cent below an open in the last 90 sessions.

The multiplier BTC actually survives

You could have carried 20x through all 30 BTC sessions and nothing above it, because 20x dies on a 5 per cent move against you. Stretch the BTC window to 90 sessions and it drops to 10x. 2.6 per cent of one-minute BTC bars span the entire 1000x liquidation distance, on a median bar of 0.0126 per cent.

Room and hit rate at every BTC multiplier

LeverageLiquidation distance Sessions it was hitHit rateRound-trip cost vs stake
2x50.0000%0 / 900%1.0%
5x20.0000%0 / 900%1.0%
10x10.0000%0 / 900%1.0%
20x5.0000%3 / 903%1.0%
50x2.0000%28 / 9031%1.0%
100x1.0000%50 / 9056%1.0%
200x0.5000%66 / 9073%1.0%
500x0.2000%80 / 9089%1.0%
1000x0.1000%83 / 9092%1.0%

Max loss distance is one part in the leverage, because Moon closes a wager once it has lost the wager and documents no maintenance buffer. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have reached its max loss price intraday. Cost is Moon's 1% opening fee, charged on the wager and not on the exposure, so it does not change from one multiplier to the next. A rolling fee applies every 8 hours at a rate Moon does not publish and is not included.

What BTC costs you to open

The BTC entry price is 1 per cent of your wager, which is the same $1 per $100 at 1000x as at 2x. What changes is your room, and an average BTC session covers the 100x liquidation distance 4.2 times over. Your costs on BTC beyond the 1 per cent are a rolling fee at 8 hour intervals at an unpublished rate, plus a settlement spread Moon does not document.

BTC leverage questions

What multiplier is realistic on BTC?

20x, the highest BTC multiplier that avoided liquidation on every one of the last 30 sessions. A 5 per cent move against you closes the BTC wager.

What does opening a wager on BTC cost you?

1 per cent of your BTC wager, the same at 2x as at 1000x. Hold BTC past 8 hours and a rolling fee is added at a rate Moon does not publish.

Does 1000x make sense on BTC?

Your max loss price sits 0.10 per cent from entry, which BTC covered on 83 of the last 90 sessions. The length of your BTC hold settles it rather than the 1 per cent fee.

Before you take this to Moon

Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page.

Every multiplier above is measured on BTC's own last 30 sessions rather than on a market average, so it tells you how leverage behaves on BTC and nothing else. Price your own BTC size on Moon against those 30 sessions before you commit to it.

Hyperliquid lists BTC too, at up to 40x rather than 1000x, so it is the other place to price this position. The Hyperliquid platform review carries its fee basis, its funding interval and the liquidation rule that decides how far BTC can move against you. Its referral code is documented to take 4 per cent off those fees on your early BTC volume.

Our last check on BTC at Moon is older than 30 days. Treating it as unknown until it is rechecked. Last checked 2026-08-27 by operator. Moon does list cryptocurrency at up to 1000x. What it costs and where it falls short.

What this simulator is

Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any platform. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.

Leverage arithmetic used

Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.

Jurisdiction

Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.

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