What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged AAPL over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
Quiet 6.5 hours on AAPL. -0.35%, no follow-through either way. $100 on the short is $100.39 at 2x and $119.55 at 100x, +19.6% against +0.4%. Wrong side at 50x and $74.24 of the $100 is still there. Open, technically. 3 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Last to go was 100x long, after 5.5 hours. Top survivors: 50x long, 100x short. Before direction mattered, the round trip took 16% of the stake. 0.16% of AAPL pays it back, some 8% of an average session.
Leveraged trading of Apple Inc. (AAPL): what has been happening
-0.17% on the session leaves AAPL at $309.83, -0.12% over five. AAPL is -8.04% on the month, so it arrives clearly lower. Three months reads +0.49%, year to date +14.32%. The 30-session range is $300.00 to $344.57, which puts the last price -10.08% off the high and +3.28% off the low.
How volatile is AAPL right now
AAPL runs 32.8% annualised volatility over 30 sessions, 29.6% over 90. Call that worth sizing down for. Average true range across 14 sessions is 1.92% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 2.07% either side of flat. Worst hole below an open: 2.95% over 30 sessions, 4.75% over 90. Size to the second one.
What leverage AAPL actually survives
AAPL left 20x standing through all 30 sessions and nothing above it. That rung tolerates 4.950% against you, and the worst session took 2.95%. AAPL has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 37 of the last 90 sessions. That is 41% of them. For 1000x the requirement is 0.0500%, met on 84 of 90 sessions. 23.9% of one-minute bars on AAPL span the entire 1000x liquidation distance. The median bar is 0.0257%.
AAPL liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 10 / 90 | 11% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 37 / 90 | 41% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 57 / 90 | 63% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 78 / 90 | 87% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 84 / 90 | 93% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged AAPL position costs
The fee is a percentage of the position and the position is the multiplier, so 16 basis points becomes 1.6% of your stake at 10x and 16% at 100x. That bill is 8% of a typical AAPL session's range, and the move has to find it before it finds you. Somewhere near 625x the fee exceeds the stake, and the position is settled before AAPL does anything at all.
AAPL leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on AAPL?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 20x, which liquidates on a 4.950% adverse move.
How far can AAPL fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. AAPL moved at least that far against an open-price long on 37 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is AAPL right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 32.8% and 14-session average true range is 1.92% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on AAPL?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which AAPL can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Apple Inc. done recently?
-0.17% on the last session, -0.12% over five sessions, -8.04% over a month and +14.32% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $300.00 to $344.57.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on AAPL, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists AAPL, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.