What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged ADA over the last 9.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
-1.26% on ADA in 9.5 hours. Ordinary here, fatal at the top of the ladder. $100 on the short is $102.20 at 2x and $209.87 at 100x, +109.9% against +2.2%. 50x long never had a chance: gone after 3 hours. 4 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Top survivors: 20x long, 100x short. None of that touches the 16% the round trip already took. ADA owes 0.16% to square it, roughly 2% of a normal session.
Leveraged trading of Cardano (ADA): what has been happening
ADA at $0.21190, having done +1.34% today and -7.51% across five sessions. ADA is +9.79% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads +39.87%, year to date -40.56%. The 30-session range is $0.15330 to $0.25840, which puts the last price -18.00% off the high and +38.23% off the low.
How volatile is ADA right now
Realised volatility over 30 sessions annualises to 89.6%, against 83.0% over 90. By leveraged standards that is a proper mover. Average true range across 14 sessions is 7.22% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 4.69% either side of flat. Worst case from an open: 8.86% over 30 sessions, 14.13% over 90. Every multiplier decision on ADA is downstream of those two figures.
What leverage ADA actually survives
Run the last 30 sessions and 10x is the top rung that never got closed out. Its liquidation sits 9.950% away, against a worst session of 8.86%. Open the window to 90 sessions and it falls to 5x. ADA has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 73 of the last 90 sessions. That is 81% of them. 1000x asks ADA to stay within 0.0500%, which it failed to do 88 times in 90. Median one-minute bar of 0.0887%, and 62.7% of bars are on their own enough to end 1000x. That is the resolution the stop lives at.
ADA liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 2 / 90 | 2% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 17 / 90 | 19% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 51 / 90 | 57% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 73 / 90 | 81% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 80 / 90 | 89% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 86 / 90 | 96% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 88 / 90 | 98% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged ADA position costs
Turn the slider up and the fee turns up with it. 16 basis points round trip is 1.6% of the stake at 10x, 16% at 100x. Put another way: the 100x round trip eats 2% of what ADA covers in a normal session, and you start behind by that much. The ceiling set by cost alone is about 625x. Past it the round trip has already spent the stake and ADA has not been consulted.
ADA leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on ADA?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 10x, which liquidates on a 9.950% adverse move.
How far can ADA fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. ADA moved at least that far against an open-price long on 73 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is ADA right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 89.6% and 14-session average true range is 7.22% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on ADA?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which ADA can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Cardano done recently?
+1.34% on the last session, -7.51% over five sessions, +9.79% over a month and -40.56% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $0.15330 to $0.25840.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on ADA, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists ADA, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.