What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged MSFT over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
+1.23% on MSFT in 6.5 hours. Ordinary here, fatal at the top of the ladder. $100 on the long is $102.14 at 2x and $207.21 at 100x, +107.2% against +2.1%. Wrong side at 50x and $30.35 of the $100 is still there. Open, technically. 3 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Last to go was 100x short, after 15 minutes. Top survivors: 100x long, 50x short. Before direction mattered, the round trip took 16% of the stake. 0.16% of MSFT pays it back, some 9% of an average session.
Leveraged trading of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT): what has been happening
$491.55 last, +0.86% on the session, +2.00% across five. MSFT is +26.33% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads +18.15%, year to date +3.93%. 3 straight closes higher, for anyone counting. The 30-session range is $377.39 to $513.73, which puts the last price -4.32% off the high and +30.25% off the low.
How volatile is MSFT right now
MSFT runs 49.4% annualised volatility over 30 sessions, 40.1% over 90. Call that worth sizing down for. Average true range across 14 sessions is 1.84% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 3.11% either side of flat. Worst hole below an open: 3.23% over 30 sessions, 4.66% over 90. Size to the second one.
What leverage MSFT actually survives
MSFT left 20x standing through all 30 sessions and nothing above it. That rung tolerates 4.950% against you, and the worst session took 3.23%. MSFT has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 43 of the last 90 sessions. That is 48% of them. 1000x asks MSFT to stay within 0.0500%, which it failed to do 88 times in 90. A median one-minute bar on MSFT is 0.0307% wide, and 30.8% of bars are wide enough on their own to finish 1000x.
MSFT liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 18 / 90 | 20% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 43 / 90 | 48% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 65 / 90 | 72% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 83 / 90 | 92% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 88 / 90 | 98% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged MSFT position costs
The fee is a percentage of the position and the position is the multiplier, so 16 basis points becomes 1.6% of your stake at 10x and 16% at 100x. On MSFT that 100x round trip is worth about 9% of an average session's range, so the position opens that far behind. Past about 625x no price path returns the stake, because the bill is larger than the stake.
MSFT leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on MSFT?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 20x, which liquidates on a 4.950% adverse move.
How far can MSFT fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. MSFT moved at least that far against an open-price long on 43 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is MSFT right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 49.4% and 14-session average true range is 1.84% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on MSFT?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which MSFT can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Microsoft Corporation done recently?
+0.86% on the last session, +2.00% over five sessions, +26.33% over a month and +3.93% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $377.39 to $513.73.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on MSFT, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists MSFT, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.