What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged GOOGL over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
Alphabet Inc. moved -0.70% in 6.5 hours, $349.38 to $346.94. $100 on the short is $101.07 at 2x and $153.72 at 100x, +53.7% against +1.1%. The 50x long survived on $57.17. That is a hostage, not a position. 3 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Last to go was 100x long, after 60 minutes. Top survivors: 50x long, 100x short. Everything above ignores the 16% of the stake that a 100x round trip costs. GOOGL has to travel 0.16% your way to refund it, some 9% of a typical session here.
Leveraged trading of Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): what has been happening
GOOGL marks $346.94. -0.32% today, +0.83% over five sessions. GOOGL is +6.24% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads -10.78%, year to date +10.09%. The 30-session range is $314.90 to $384.48, which puts the last price -9.76% off the high and +10.17% off the low.
How volatile is GOOGL right now
Thirty sessions of realised volatility annualise to 43.1% and ninety to 37.4%, which puts GOOGL at a real tape. Average true range across 14 sessions is 1.74% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 2.72% either side of flat. The worst it has been below an open in the last 90 sessions is 6.93%, and that session falls inside the last 30. That is the number your multiplier has to survive.
What leverage GOOGL actually survives
The ladder tops out at 10x if the requirement is surviving all 30 of the last sessions. 10x dies on 9.950%; GOOGL got to 6.93% at its worst. GOOGL has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 47 of the last 90 sessions. That is 52% of them. For 1000x the requirement is 0.0500%, met on 89 of 90 sessions. Median one-minute bar of 0.0301%, and 29.3% of bars are on their own enough to end 1000x. That is the resolution the stop lives at.
GOOGL liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 2 / 90 | 2% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 13 / 90 | 14% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 47 / 90 | 52% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 69 / 90 | 77% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 85 / 90 | 94% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 89 / 90 | 99% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged GOOGL position costs
Fees come off exposure, not off what you put up, which is where the damage hides. At 16 basis points round trip, 10x costs 1.6% of the stake to open and close and 100x costs 16%. Put another way: the 100x round trip eats 9% of what GOOGL covers in a normal session, and you start behind by that much. The ceiling set by cost alone is about 625x. Past it the round trip has already spent the stake and GOOGL has not been consulted.
GOOGL leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on GOOGL?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 10x, which liquidates on a 9.950% adverse move.
How far can GOOGL fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. GOOGL moved at least that far against an open-price long on 47 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is GOOGL right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 43.1% and 14-session average true range is 1.74% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on GOOGL?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which GOOGL can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Alphabet Inc. done recently?
-0.32% on the last session, +0.83% over five sessions, +6.24% over a month and +10.09% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $314.90 to $384.48.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on GOOGL, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists GOOGL, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.