What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged RIVN over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
-0.65% on RIVN in 6.5 hours. Ordinary here, fatal at the top of the ladder. $100 on the short is $100.99 at 2x and $149.35 at 100x, +49.3% against +1.0%. The other way round, 50x long was stopped out after 9 minutes. 4 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Top survivors: 20x long, 100x short. Before direction mattered, the round trip took 16% of the stake. 0.16% of RIVN pays it back, some 4% of an average session.
Leveraged trading of Rivian Automotive (RIVN): what has been happening
Last print $16.73, +0.84% for the session and +12.96% on the week. RIVN is +1.52% on the month, so it arrives grinding higher. Three months reads +16.26%, year to date -13.81%. The 30-session range is $14.70 to $18.79, which puts the last price -10.94% off the high and +13.81% off the low.
How volatile is RIVN right now
RIVN runs 54.9% annualised volatility over 30 sessions, 72.1% over 90. Call that a real tape. Average true range across 14 sessions is 3.93% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 3.46% either side of flat. One session accounts for the worst drop below an open across both the 30 and 90 session windows, at 10.75%. Size to it.
What leverage RIVN actually survives
The ladder tops out at 5x if the requirement is surviving all 30 of the last sessions. 5x dies on 19.950%; RIVN got to 10.75% at its worst. RIVN has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 65 of the last 90 sessions. That is 72% of them. 1000x needs only 0.0500% and got it 89 times in 90. Drop to one-minute bars and the picture gets worse: 57.3% of them clear the full 1000x distance, median bar 0.0624%.
RIVN liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 1 / 90 | 1% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 10 / 90 | 11% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 43 / 90 | 48% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 65 / 90 | 72% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 81 / 90 | 90% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 86 / 90 | 96% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 89 / 90 | 99% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged RIVN position costs
Turn the slider up and the fee turns up with it. 16 basis points round trip is 1.6% of the stake at 10x, 16% at 100x. That bill is 4% of a typical RIVN session's range, and the move has to find it before it finds you. Somewhere near 625x the fee exceeds the stake, and the position is settled before RIVN does anything at all.
RIVN leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on RIVN?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 5x, which liquidates on a 19.950% adverse move.
How far can RIVN fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. RIVN moved at least that far against an open-price long on 65 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is RIVN right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 54.9% and 14-session average true range is 3.93% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on RIVN?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which RIVN can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Rivian Automotive done recently?
+0.84% on the last session, +12.96% over five sessions, +1.52% over a month and -13.81% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $14.70 to $18.79.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on RIVN, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists RIVN, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.