What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged PLTR over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
Palantir Technologies covered -2.23% in 6.5 hours, which is where the ladder thins out. Direction was right and 100x died anyway, inside the first minute. The same short at 2x is $104.14. Wrong side at 50x, closed out after 1.6 hours. 5 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Top survivors: 20x long, 50x short. Everything above ignores the 16% of the stake that a 100x round trip costs. PLTR has to travel 0.16% your way to refund it, some 4% of a typical session here.
Leveraged trading of Palantir Technologies (PLTR): what has been happening
Last print $172.72, -1.80% for the session and +0.66% on the week. PLTR is +31.32% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads +26.44%, year to date +2.90%. 2 straight closes lower, for anyone counting. The 30-session range is $117.89 to $182.44, which puts the last price -5.33% off the high and +46.51% off the low.
How volatile is PLTR right now
Thirty sessions of realised volatility annualise to 91.0% and ninety to 69.4%, which puts PLTR at genuinely volatile. Average true range across 14 sessions is 4.24% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 5.73% either side of flat. 6.63% below an open is the worst of the last 90 sessions, and it happened recently enough to be in the last 30 as well.
What leverage PLTR actually survives
The ladder tops out at 10x if the requirement is surviving all 30 of the last sessions. 10x dies on 9.950%; PLTR got to 6.63% at its worst. PLTR has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 62 of the last 90 sessions. That is 69% of them. For 1000x the requirement is 0.0500%, met on 89 of 90 sessions. Median one-minute bar of 0.0579%, and 55.1% of bars are on their own enough to end 1000x. That is the resolution the stop lives at.
PLTR liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 6 / 90 | 7% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 39 / 90 | 43% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 62 / 90 | 69% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 76 / 90 | 84% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 85 / 90 | 94% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 89 / 90 | 99% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged PLTR position costs
16 basis points is charged on exposure, not on what you put up. 1.6% of the stake at 10x, 16% at 100x. On PLTR that 100x round trip is worth about 4% of an average session's range, so the position opens that far behind. Anything beyond 625x is a donation with a chart attached.
PLTR leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on PLTR?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 10x, which liquidates on a 9.950% adverse move.
How far can PLTR fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. PLTR moved at least that far against an open-price long on 62 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is PLTR right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 91.0% and 14-session average true range is 4.24% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on PLTR?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which PLTR can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Palantir Technologies done recently?
-1.80% on the last session, +0.66% over five sessions, +31.32% over a month and +2.90% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $117.89 to $182.44.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on PLTR, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists PLTR, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.