What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged ORCL over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
Oracle Corporation moved +1.02% in 6.5 hours, $143.30 to $144.76. $100 on the long is $101.72 at 2x and $185.84 at 100x, +85.8% against +1.7%. Wrong side at 50x, closed out after 12 minutes. 4 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Top survivors: 100x long, 20x short. Then the bill. 16% of the stake to get in and out at 100x, repaid only after 0.16%, which is 4% of an average session here.
Leveraged trading of Oracle Corporation (ORCL): what has been happening
ORCL at $144.76, having done +1.63% today and +1.46% across five sessions. ORCL is +20.73% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads -25.02%, year to date -26.03%. The 30-session range is $114.50 to $159.26, which puts the last price -9.10% off the high and +26.43% off the low.
How volatile is ORCL right now
Realised volatility over 30 sessions annualises to 60.0%, against 61.8% over 90. By leveraged standards that is hard work at size. Average true range across 14 sessions is 4.30% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 3.78% either side of flat. ORCL has been 6.30% below an open at its worst in 30 sessions and 8.73% in 90. Size to the 90-session figure unless you plan to be lucky.
What leverage ORCL actually survives
Run the last 30 sessions and 10x is the top rung that never got closed out. Its liquidation sits 9.950% away, against a worst session of 6.30%. ORCL has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 71 of the last 90 sessions. That is 79% of them. 1000x asks ORCL to stay within 0.0500%, which it failed to do 88 times in 90. Zoom into one-minute bars and 55.9% of them are individually wide enough to close a 1000x position, on a median bar of 0.0597%.
ORCL liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 10 / 90 | 11% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 44 / 90 | 49% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 71 / 90 | 79% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 80 / 90 | 89% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 87 / 90 | 97% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 88 / 90 | 98% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged ORCL position costs
The multiplier scales the fee as well as the position, at 16 basis points round trip: 1.6% of the stake at 10x, 16% at 100x. Nobody puts that on the banner. The round trip at 100x is 4% of what ORCL typically covers in a session. That is the hole you open in. 625x is where the arithmetic stops being a trade. The fee alone is the stake, so the only open question is how long ORCL takes to finish it.
ORCL leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on ORCL?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 10x, which liquidates on a 9.950% adverse move.
How far can ORCL fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. ORCL moved at least that far against an open-price long on 71 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is ORCL right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 60.0% and 14-session average true range is 4.30% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on ORCL?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which ORCL can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Oracle Corporation done recently?
+1.63% on the last session, +1.46% over five sessions, +20.73% over a month and -26.03% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $114.50 to $159.26.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on ORCL, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists ORCL, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.