What $100 would have done, by leverage
—
—
| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged NFLX over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
$79.65 to $82.25 inside 6.5 hours, +3.27%. Days like this are why the ladder has a top. $100 on the long is $106.22 at 2x and $410.93 at 100x, +310.9% against +6.2%. The 50x short died after 8 minutes. 4 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Top survivors: 100x long, 20x short. Everything above ignores the 16% of the stake that a 100x round trip costs. NFLX has to travel 0.16% your way to refund it, some 6% of a typical session here.
Leveraged trading of Netflix Inc. (NFLX): what has been happening
Last print $82.25, +2.81% for the session and +5.74% on the week. NFLX is +16.84% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads -6.19%, year to date -9.60%. 2 straight closes higher, for anyone counting. The 30-session range is $65.08 to $82.45, which puts the last price -0.24% off the high and +26.39% off the low.
How volatile is NFLX right now
Volatility reads 36.9% annualised across 30 sessions against 36.8% across 90, so active is the honest label. Average true range across 14 sessions is 2.88% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 2.33% either side of flat. Worst case from an open: 3.01% over 30 sessions, 5.69% over 90. Every multiplier decision on NFLX is downstream of those two figures.
What leverage NFLX actually survives
Run the last 30 sessions and 20x is the top rung that never got closed out. Its liquidation sits 4.950% away, against a worst session of 3.01%. Open the window to 90 sessions and it falls to 10x. NFLX has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 51 of the last 90 sessions. That is 57% of them. For 1000x the requirement is 0.0500%, met on 90 of 90 sessions. On the one-minute series the median bar travels 0.0321% and 32.6% of bars cover the whole 1000x liquidation distance on their own. One bar of NFLX, not one session.
NFLX liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 2 / 90 | 2% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 19 / 90 | 21% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 51 / 90 | 57% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 70 / 90 | 78% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 86 / 90 | 96% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 90 / 90 | 100% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged NFLX position costs
Turn the slider up and the fee turns up with it. 16 basis points round trip is 1.6% of the stake at 10x, 16% at 100x. NFLX has to give back 6% of an ordinary session's range just to clear the 100x round trip. Anything beyond 625x is a donation with a chart attached.
NFLX leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on NFLX?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 20x, which liquidates on a 4.950% adverse move.
How far can NFLX fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. NFLX moved at least that far against an open-price long on 51 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is NFLX right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 36.9% and 14-session average true range is 2.88% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on NFLX?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which NFLX can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Netflix Inc. done recently?
+2.81% on the last session, +5.74% over five sessions, +16.84% over a month and -9.60% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $65.08 to $82.45.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on NFLX, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists NFLX, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.