What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged MU over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
Micron Technology ground +0.39% higher across 6.5 hours. Bid, never chased. The long was the correct side and it still was not enough. 2x marks $100.46. 100x was liquidated after 49 minutes. The 50x short died after 4 minutes. 6 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Last to go was 50x long, after 4.7 hours. 20x was the top rung left standing either way. Before direction mattered, the round trip took 16% of the stake. 0.16% of MU pays it back, some 3% of an average session.
Leveraged trading of Micron Technology (MU): what has been happening
$932.59 last, +2.43% on the session, -0.95% across five. MU is +3.60% on the month, so it arrives grinding higher. Three months reads +4.10%, year to date +195.67%. The 30-session range is $737.88 to $1,036.13, which puts the last price -9.99% off the high and +26.39% off the low.
How volatile is MU right now
MU runs 95.8% annualised volatility over 30 sessions, 101.4% over 90. Call that hard work at size. Average true range across 14 sessions is 5.97% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 6.03% either side of flat. The deepest MU has gone below an open in 30 sessions is 11.42%, and 13.54% across 90. Any rung that cannot absorb 13.54% has an expiry date.
What leverage MU actually survives
Run the last 30 sessions and 5x is the top rung that never got closed out. Its liquidation sits 19.950% away, against a worst session of 11.42%. MU has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 71 of the last 90 sessions. That is 79% of them. 87 of the last 90 sessions cleared the 0.0500% that ends a 1000x position. A median one-minute bar on MU is 0.0741% wide, and 63.3% of bars are wide enough on their own to finish 1000x.
MU liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 5 / 90 | 6% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 20 / 90 | 22% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 55 / 90 | 61% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 71 / 90 | 79% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 81 / 90 | 90% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 86 / 90 | 96% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 87 / 90 | 97% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged MU position costs
16 basis points is charged on exposure, not on what you put up. 1.6% of the stake at 10x, 16% at 100x. MU has to give back 3% of an ordinary session's range just to clear the 100x round trip. 625x is where the arithmetic stops being a trade. The fee alone is the stake, so the only open question is how long MU takes to finish it.
MU leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on MU?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 5x, which liquidates on a 19.950% adverse move.
How far can MU fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. MU moved at least that far against an open-price long on 71 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is MU right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 95.8% and 14-session average true range is 5.97% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on MU?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which MU can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Micron Technology done recently?
+2.43% on the last session, -0.95% over five sessions, +3.60% over a month and +195.67% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $737.88 to $1,036.13.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on MU, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists MU, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.