What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged JPM over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
JPM went -0.09% over 6.5 hours. A flat tape with extra steps. Here is the ugly part: the short was the correct side and 100x still lost money, $92.69 left of $100. The round trip cost 16% of the stake and the move only paid 0.09%. Take the other side at 50x and the $100 marks $87.66. Same move, read backwards. 3 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Last to go was 100x long, after 16 minutes. Top survivors: 50x long, 100x short. The fee took no view on any of it: 16% of the stake to get in and out at 100x, so JPM has to hand back 0.16% before you are level, about 11% of an average session's range here.
Leveraged trading of JPMorgan Chase (JPM): what has been happening
$356.69 on the tape, +0.07% for the session and -1.81% across five. JPM is +0.14% on the month, so it arrives grinding higher. Three months reads +16.28%, year to date +9.59%. 2 straight closes higher, for anyone counting. The 30-session range is $335.05 to $366.50, which puts the last price -2.68% off the high and +6.46% off the low.
How volatile is JPM right now
Volatility reads 18.0% annualised across 30 sessions against 21.1% across 90, so tame is the honest label. Average true range across 14 sessions is 1.48% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 1.13% either side of flat. Down 3.57% from an open at worst over 30 sessions, 3.80% over 90. Leverage has to survive the second number, not the first.
What leverage JPM actually survives
JPM left 20x standing through all 30 sessions and nothing above it. That rung tolerates 4.950% against you, and the worst session took 3.57%. JPM has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 41 of the last 90 sessions. That is 46% of them. 1000x asks JPM to stay within 0.0500%, which it failed to do 86 times in 90. Drop to one-minute bars and the picture gets worse: 21.7% of them clear the full 1000x distance, median bar 0.0249%.
JPM liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 9 / 90 | 10% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 41 / 90 | 46% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 60 / 90 | 67% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 83 / 90 | 92% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 86 / 90 | 96% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged JPM position costs
Turn the slider up and the fee turns up with it. 16 basis points round trip is 1.6% of the stake at 10x, 16% at 100x. On JPM that 100x round trip is worth about 11% of an average session's range, so the position opens that far behind. Past about 625x no price path returns the stake, because the bill is larger than the stake.
JPM leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on JPM?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 20x, which liquidates on a 4.950% adverse move.
How far can JPM fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. JPM moved at least that far against an open-price long on 41 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is JPM right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 18.0% and 14-session average true range is 1.48% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on JPM?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which JPM can cover in a single minute bar.
What has JPMorgan Chase done recently?
+0.07% on the last session, -1.81% over five sessions, +0.14% over a month and +9.59% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $335.05 to $366.50.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on JPM, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists JPM, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.