What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged XOM over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
Exxon Mobil leaked -0.50% across 6.5 hours. Offered, never dumped. $100 on the short is $100.68 at 2x and $134.19 at 100x, +34.2% against +0.7%. The 50x long survived on $66.93. That is a hostage, not a position. 2 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. All of them inside the first minute. 100x was the top rung left standing either way. The fee took no view on any of it: 16% of the stake to get in and out at 100x, so XOM has to hand back 0.16% before you are level, about 7% of an average session's range here.
Leveraged trading of Exxon Mobil (XOM): what has been happening
XOM at $160.64, having done -2.09% today and -3.00% across five sessions. XOM is +3.79% on the month, so it arrives grinding higher. Three months reads +7.23%, year to date +30.97%. That is 3 closes in a row lower. The 30-session range is $142.03 to $168.64, which puts the last price -4.74% off the high and +13.10% off the low.
How volatile is XOM right now
Volatility reads 23.2% annualised across 30 sessions against 27.7% across 90, so nothing to size around is the honest label. Average true range across 14 sessions is 2.19% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 1.46% either side of flat. XOM has been 2.51% below an open at its worst in 30 sessions and 3.86% in 90. Size to the 90-session figure unless you plan to be lucky.
What leverage XOM actually survives
Run the last 30 sessions and 20x is the top rung that never got closed out. Its liquidation sits 4.950% away, against a worst session of 2.51%. XOM has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 38 of the last 90 sessions. That is 42% of them. 1000x asks XOM to stay within 0.0500%, which it failed to do 87 times in 90. Per minute rather than per session: median bar 0.0311%, and 29.8% of them would close 1000x without any help from the rest of the day.
XOM liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 10 / 90 | 11% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 38 / 90 | 42% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 68 / 90 | 76% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 85 / 90 | 94% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 87 / 90 | 97% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged XOM position costs
Turn the slider up and the fee turns up with it. 16 basis points round trip is 1.6% of the stake at 10x, 16% at 100x. Measured against its own tape, the 100x round trip on XOM costs 7% of a normal session's range. Past roughly 625x the round trip costs more than the whole stake. Above that line you are not trading XOM, you are paying to watch it.
XOM leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on XOM?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 20x, which liquidates on a 4.950% adverse move.
How far can XOM fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. XOM moved at least that far against an open-price long on 38 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is XOM right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 23.2% and 14-session average true range is 2.19% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on XOM?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which XOM can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Exxon Mobil done recently?
-2.09% on the last session, -3.00% over five sessions, +3.79% over a month and +30.97% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $142.03 to $168.64.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on XOM, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists XOM, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.