What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged TRX over the last 9.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
-1.11% on TRX in 9.5 hours. Ordinary here, fatal at the top of the ladder. $100 on the short is $101.91 at 2x and $195.42 at 100x, +95.4% against +1.9%. Wrong side at 50x and $36.34 of the $100 is still there. Open, technically. 3 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Last to go was 100x long, after 2.2 hours. Top survivors: 50x long, 100x short. Everything above ignores the 16% of the stake that a 100x round trip costs. TRX has to travel 0.16% your way to refund it, some 11% of a typical session here.
Leveraged trading of TRON (TRX): what has been happening
Last print $0.33740, +0.33% for the session and -1.75% on the week. TRX is +3.09% on the month, so it arrives grinding higher. Three months reads +2.46%, year to date +17.52%. The 30-session range is $0.32350 to $0.35020, which puts the last price -3.66% off the high and +4.30% off the low.
How volatile is TRX right now
TRX runs 16.6% annualised volatility over 30 sessions, 22.0% over 90. Call that tame. Average true range across 14 sessions is 1.41% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 0.87% either side of flat. The deepest TRX has gone below an open in 30 sessions is 2.61%, and 5.46% across 90. Any rung that cannot absorb 5.46% has an expiry date.
What leverage TRX actually survives
The ladder tops out at 20x if the requirement is surviving all 30 of the last sessions. 20x dies on 4.950%; TRX got to 2.61% at its worst. Open the window to 90 sessions and it falls to 10x. TRX has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 22 of the last 90 sessions. That is 24% of them. 85 of the last 90 sessions cleared the 0.0500% that ends a 1000x position. Zoom into one-minute bars and 8.3% of them are individually wide enough to close a 1000x position, on a median bar of 0.0289%.
TRX liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 1 / 90 | 1% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 11 / 90 | 12% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 22 / 90 | 24% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 51 / 90 | 57% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 72 / 90 | 80% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 85 / 90 | 94% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged TRX position costs
Nobody is charging you 16 basis points of your stake. They are charging 16 basis points of the exposure, which is 1.6% at 10x and 16% at 100x. 11% of an average TRX session goes on the 100x round trip before the position has a view on anything. Somewhere near 625x the fee exceeds the stake, and the position is settled before TRX does anything at all.
TRX leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on TRX?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 20x, which liquidates on a 4.950% adverse move.
How far can TRX fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. TRX moved at least that far against an open-price long on 22 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is TRX right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 16.6% and 14-session average true range is 1.41% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on TRX?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which TRX can cover in a single minute bar.
What has TRON done recently?
+0.33% on the last session, -1.75% over five sessions, +3.09% over a month and +17.52% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $0.32350 to $0.35020.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on TRX, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists TRX, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.