What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged HYPE over the last 9.6 hours: what it gained and what it lost
$81.374 to $81.900 in 9.6 hours, +0.65%. No drama in it, plenty of casualties. $100 on the long is $100.97 at 2x. At 100x it was stopped out after 2.8 hours, right about HYPE and dead anyway. Wrong side at 50x, closed out after 1.6 hours. 6 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Last to go was 50x long, after 3.1 hours. 20x was the top rung left standing either way. Everything above ignores the 16% of the stake that a 100x round trip costs. HYPE has to travel 0.16% your way to refund it, some 2% of a typical session here.
Leveraged trading of Hyperliquid (HYPE): what has been happening
$81.900 last, +2.81% on the session, +8.38% across five. HYPE is +48.71% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads +31.65%, year to date +237.80%. It has closed higher 2 sessions running. The 30-session range is $51.153 to $83.420, which puts the last price -1.82% off the high and +60.11% off the low.
Priced against USDT on OKX. Twelve Data has no HYPE/USD spot pair, so the quote carries USDT basis risk.
How volatile is HYPE right now
HYPE runs 92.6% annualised volatility over 30 sessions, 146.7% over 90. Call that genuinely volatile. Average true range across 14 sessions is 6.97% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 4.85% either side of flat. Worst case from an open: 7.08% over 30 sessions, 15.44% over 90. Every multiplier decision on HYPE is downstream of those two figures.
What leverage HYPE actually survives
HYPE left 10x standing through all 30 sessions and nothing above it. That rung tolerates 9.950% against you, and the worst session took 7.08%. Open the window to 90 sessions and it falls to 5x. HYPE has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 69 of the last 90 sessions. That is 77% of them. 1000x needs only 0.0500% and got it 88 times in 90. Zoom into one-minute bars and 64.6% of them are individually wide enough to close a 1000x position, on a median bar of 0.0776%.
HYPE liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 3 / 90 | 3% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 18 / 90 | 20% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 52 / 90 | 58% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 69 / 90 | 77% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 78 / 90 | 87% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 85 / 90 | 94% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 88 / 90 | 98% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged HYPE position costs
The fee is a percentage of the position and the position is the multiplier, so 16 basis points becomes 1.6% of your stake at 10x and 16% at 100x. Measured against its own tape, the 100x round trip on HYPE costs 2% of a normal session's range. 625x is where the arithmetic stops being a trade. The fee alone is the stake, so the only open question is how long HYPE takes to finish it.
HYPE leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on HYPE?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 10x, which liquidates on a 9.950% adverse move.
How far can HYPE fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. HYPE moved at least that far against an open-price long on 69 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is HYPE right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 92.6% and 14-session average true range is 6.97% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on HYPE?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which HYPE can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Hyperliquid done recently?
+2.81% on the last session, +8.38% over five sessions, +48.71% over a month and +237.80% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $51.153 to $83.420.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on HYPE, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists HYPE, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.