What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged HBAR over the last 9.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
-1.92% on HBAR across 9.5 hours. Enough to matter at any size. $100 on the short is $103.51 at 2x. At 100x it was stopped out after 38 minutes, right about HBAR and dead anyway. 50x long never had a chance: gone after 2.9 hours. 5 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Top survivors: 20x long, 50x short. Before direction mattered, the round trip took 16% of the stake. 0.16% of HBAR pays it back, some 3% of an average session.
Leveraged trading of Hedera (HBAR): what has been happening
$0.07830 last, +0.71% on the session, -1.89% across five. HBAR is +12.79% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads +0.94%, year to date -31.52%. The 30-session range is $0.06429 to $0.08687, which puts the last price -9.87% off the high and +21.79% off the low.
How volatile is HBAR right now
Volatility reads 55.5% annualised across 30 sessions against 54.4% across 90, so active is the honest label. Average true range across 14 sessions is 5.25% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 2.90% either side of flat. Worst hole below an open: 6.52% over 30 sessions, 7.60% over 90. Size to the second one.
What leverage HBAR actually survives
The ladder tops out at 10x if the requirement is surviving all 30 of the last sessions. 10x dies on 9.950%; HBAR got to 6.52% at its worst. HBAR has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 67 of the last 90 sessions. That is 74% of them. 88 of the last 90 sessions cleared the 0.0500% that ends a 1000x position. Per minute rather than per session: median bar 0.0549%, and 55.5% of them would close 1000x without any help from the rest of the day.
HBAR liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 7 / 90 | 8% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 39 / 90 | 43% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 67 / 90 | 74% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 76 / 90 | 84% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 83 / 90 | 92% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 88 / 90 | 98% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged HBAR position costs
16 basis points is charged on exposure, not on what you put up. 1.6% of the stake at 10x, 16% at 100x. The round trip at 100x is 3% of what HBAR typically covers in a session. That is the hole you open in. 625x is where the arithmetic stops being a trade. The fee alone is the stake, so the only open question is how long HBAR takes to finish it.
HBAR leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on HBAR?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 10x, which liquidates on a 9.950% adverse move.
How far can HBAR fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. HBAR moved at least that far against an open-price long on 67 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is HBAR right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 55.5% and 14-session average true range is 5.25% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on HBAR?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which HBAR can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Hedera done recently?
+0.71% on the last session, -1.89% over five sessions, +12.79% over a month and -31.52% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $0.06429 to $0.08687.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on HBAR, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists HBAR, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.