What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged BCH over the last 9.6 hours: what it gained and what it lost
+0.83% on BCH in 9.6 hours. Ordinary here, fatal at the top of the ladder. Right call, wrong size. $100 on the long at 2x is $101.33; the same long at 100x was closed out after 3.1 hours. $50.69 left on the 50x short. One more leg like that and it is flat. 5 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Last to go was 100x short, after 7.4 hours. Top survivors: 20x long, 50x short. BCH owes you 0.16% before a 100x position is back to even, because the round trip already took 16% of the stake. On this market that is roughly 2% of a normal day's range.
Leveraged trading of Bitcoin Cash (BCH): what has been happening
$268.600 on the tape, +1.02% for the session and -6.90% across five. BCH is +25.87% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads +38.03%, year to date -54.72%. The 30-session range is $199.700 to $305.600, which puts the last price -12.11% off the high and +34.50% off the low.
How volatile is BCH right now
Thirty sessions of realised volatility annualise to 100.6% and ninety to 88.7%, which puts BCH at unhinged. Average true range across 14 sessions is 6.96% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 5.26% either side of flat. 9.15% is the worst it has been down from an open in 30 sessions, 15.32% in 90. Pick a multiplier that survives the bad one, not the average one.
What leverage BCH actually survives
Run the last 30 sessions and 10x is the top rung that never got closed out. Its liquidation sits 9.950% away, against a worst session of 9.15%. Open the window to 90 sessions and it falls to 5x. BCH has gone 0.950% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 68 of the last 90 sessions. That is 76% of them. 1000x needs only 0.0500% and got it 87 times in 90. Per minute rather than per session: median bar 0.0716%, and 52.7% of them would close 1000x without any help from the rest of the day.
BCH liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 49.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.3% |
| 5x | 19.9500% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 10x | 9.9500% | 4 / 90 | 4% | 1.6% |
| 20x | 4.9500% | 18 / 90 | 20% | 3.2% |
| 50x | 1.9500% | 49 / 90 | 54% | 8.0% |
| 100x | 0.9500% | 68 / 90 | 76% | 16.0% |
| 200x | 0.4500% | 77 / 90 | 86% | 32.0% |
| 500x | 0.1500% | 83 / 90 | 92% | 80.0% |
| 1000x | 0.0500% | 87 / 90 | 97% | 160.0% |
Liquidation distance assumes a 5 basis point maintenance margin: an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have been liquidated intraday. Cost assumes 16 basis points of spread and fees on the round trip.
What a leveraged BCH position costs
The multiplier scales the fee as well as the position, at 16 basis points round trip: 1.6% of the stake at 10x, 16% at 100x. Nobody puts that on the banner. Measured against its own tape, the 100x round trip on BCH costs 2% of a normal session's range. Somewhere near 625x the fee exceeds the stake, and the position is settled before BCH does anything at all.
BCH leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on BCH?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 10x, which liquidates on a 9.950% adverse move.
How far can BCH fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
0.950% at a 5 basis point maintenance margin. BCH moved at least that far against an open-price long on 68 of the last 90 sessions.
How volatile is BCH right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 100.6% and 14-session average true range is 6.96% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on BCH?
No, and the fee schedule settles it before volatility gets a say. At 16 basis points round trip, 1000x costs 160% of the stake in spread and fees alone, so the position opens behind by more than the stake. Liquidation sits 0.0500% away, which BCH can cover in a single minute bar.
What has Bitcoin Cash done recently?
+1.02% on the last session, -6.90% over five sessions, +25.87% over a month and -54.72% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $199.700 to $305.600.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on BCH, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists BCH, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.